Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.054405 0.063651 0.073956 0.086285 0.100635 0.116807 0.136418
2025-09-07 0.040728 0.052964 0.068055 0.088020 0.113731 0.145722 0.188567
2025-09-14 0.031818 0.044870 0.062269 0.087123 0.121693 0.168068 0.235032
2025-09-21 0.025516 0.038474 0.056890 0.084910 0.126431 0.185667 0.276638
2025-09-28 0.020865 0.033344 0.052091 0.082219 0.129372 0.200315 0.315201
2025-10-05 0.018400 0.030964 0.050790 0.084235 0.139176 0.225807 0.372823
2025-10-12 0.016167 0.028522 0.048918 0.084883 0.146629 0.248241 0.428190
2025-10-19 0.014283 0.026328 0.047059 0.085146 0.153260 0.269860 0.484634
2025-10-26 0.012885 0.024745 0.045967 0.086477 0.161729 0.295363 0.550670
2025-11-02 0.011887 0.023724 0.045695 0.089165 0.172846 0.326638 0.630670
2025-11-09 0.010319 0.021377 0.042640 0.086195 0.172970 0.337813 0.674600
2025-11-16 0.009282 0.019920 0.041070 0.085839 0.177976 0.358559 0.739134
2025-11-23 0.008264 0.018376 0.039165 0.084639 0.181318 0.376809 0.801775
2025-11-30 0.007653 0.017605 0.038735 0.086435 0.191052 0.409006 0.897066
2025-12-07 0.006886 0.016376 0.037168 0.085571 0.195001 0.429712 0.970687
2025-12-14 0.006115 0.015021 0.035141 0.083400 0.195768 0.443680 1.031306
2025-12-21 0.005409 0.013713 0.033038 0.080757 0.195090 0.454338 1.085732
2025-12-28 0.005088 0.013290 0.032919 0.082738 0.205369 0.490698 1.203600
2026-01-04 0.004716 0.012682 0.032281 0.083374 0.212506 0.520627 1.309930
2026-01-11 0.004360 0.012064 0.031532 0.083633 0.218737 0.549116 1.416230
2026-01-18 0.004092 0.011639 0.031214 0.084940 0.227765 0.585392 1.546272
2026-01-25 0.003909 0.011421 0.031396 0.087582 0.240567 0.632481 1.709530
2026-02-01 0.003497 0.010497 0.029595 0.084663 0.238301 0.641115 1.773767